ویدیو

لایو با آرش - آیا مهلت ترامپ به جمهوری اسلامی بپایان رسیده؟

📋خلاصه

در این ویدیو، من به بررسی تحولات اخیر درباره روابط آمریکا و جمهوری اسلامی پرداخته‌ام. در روزهای اخیر، گزارش‌هایی در رسانه‌های آمریکایی منتشر شده که نشان می‌دهد تعداد زیادی هواپیماهای جدید آمریکایی به منطقه خاورمیانه و به‌ویژه به پایگاه‌های نظامی در اردن رسیده‌اند. این تعداد هواپیماها از زمان جنگ ۲۰۰۳ تاکنون بی‌سابقه است. موضوع اصلی بحث این است که آیا مهلت تعیین‌شده توسط ترامپ برای جمهوری اسلامی به پایان رسیده و آیا باید انتظار حمله‌ای از سوی آمریکا داشته باشیم یا خیر. ترامپ مهلتی برای جمهوری اسلامی تعیین کرده بود که دقیقاً مشخص نبود، اما گمانه‌زنی‌ها حاکی از این بود که این مهلت در روزهای سه‌شنبه و چهارشنبه به پایان خواهد رسید. در این میان، جمهوری اسلامی قصد دارد در ژنو پیشنهادی ارائه دهد که شامل کنترل برنامه‌های هسته‌ای و موشکی‌اش باشد، اما آمریکایی‌ها هنوز پیشنهادی مشخص روی میز نگذاشته‌اند. در این ویدیو، من تأکید کرده‌ام که ترامپ ممکن است تصمیم به حمله بگیرد، اما به نظر می‌رسد هنوز تصمیم نهایی گرفته نشده است. همچنین، گزارش‌هایی وجود دارد که مشاوران ترامپ به او توصیه کرده‌اند فعلاً به ایران حمله نکند. برخی از این گزارش‌ها ممکن است از سوی کسانی در کاخ سفید منتشر شده باشد که قصد دارند بر تصمیم‌گیری ترامپ تأثیر بگذارند. در بخش دیگری از ویدیو، درباره قدرت نظامی آمریکا و توانایی آن‌ها در استقرار پهپادها و نیروهای نظامی در منطقه صحبت کرده‌ام. تعداد زیادی پهپاد و هواپیماهای نظامی به منطقه منتقل شده و این نشان‌دهنده آمادگی بالقوه برای هرگونه اقدام نظامی است. همچنین به موضوعاتی چون پرچم شیر و خورشید در دانشگاه‌های ایران و تغییرات اجتماعی در داخل کشور پرداخته‌ام. به نظر می‌رسد که تحولات داخلی در ایران نیز در حال شکل‌گیری است و این می‌تواند تأثیرات مهمی بر آینده سیاسی منطقه داشته باشد. در نهایت، به اهمیت ورزش و حفظ روحیه برای مقابله با شرایط فعلی تأکید کرده‌ام و اعلام کرده‌ام که در صورت بروز تحولات جدید، برنامه‌های ویژه‌ای را در نظر خواهم گرفت.

📝متن کامل

Hello friends, 232 minutes after Washington DC time, welcome to another live broadcast from Capital Report. In the past few hours, a lot has happened in the American press. They are reporting that over 150 new American aircraft have taken off from the United States or are flying to a series of bases that the Americans are in, especially in Jordan, in the past few days. And now these reports say that the Americans have reached a point where even since the 2003 war, the United States has more aircraft in the region. And there are conversations that I have seen in the American press on various networks about what the next stage will be. Everyone is talking about how much time is left for the Islamic Republic in this war. Because Mr. Trump had given the Islamic Republic a deadline a long time ago. An ultimatum that he never said who it was, but there was always speculation about it, and speculation was around these days. That is, on Tuesday and Wednesday, speculation was that this ultimatum would end, and on Thursday, we would see what the plan that the Islamic Republic wants to present in Geneva would include ? The proposals that the Islamic Republic itself is going to make to control its nuclear, missile, and nuclear programs . The Americans did not put any specific proposals on the table . They did not tell the Islamic Republic. They should say exactly that enrichment should not be zero. And then they should say that your missile program and control of your proxies should change. How should its management change? What else is the Islamic Republic going to say at this meeting in Geneva? And the Islamic Republic is probably trying to persuade the Americans to sign an agreement with them, in fact, an agreement that is in the interest of the Islamic Republic. Most likely, if the issue gets to this point, then it will be up to Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Koesner to tell Donald Trump what the outcome of these negotiations was. Can anything be gained from the outcome of the negotiations? Up until now, as we hear the talks, Mr. Witkoff's own words are that the Islamic Republic only comes to the negotiating table and says things that it does not actually do, which means continuing the same things that were said in the past, which is that the Islamic Republic is lying. You see, he is cheating, he is trying to buy time, and this is something that if this gentle tone of Mr. Widkoff is in front of the camera, he will tell the President of the United States, who does not hesitate to tell him exactly what is going to happen and will clarify the task. Will we witness the first American attack on the Islamic Republic in the new year in a few days? And the reason is that Mr. Trump will deliver his first report to the nation in his second term in the US Congress at 9 pm Washington DC time tonight, about 6-7 hours from now. This report is supposed to be a long report, God help us. Mr. Trump does not want to talk for long , he always talks for 50 minutes more than the time he is given. When he says it is long, he means that we should expect the President of the United States to speak until midnight. Probably some of it will be about Iran. Some of it will be about why this attack should be carried out. Some even say that during the report to the nation, he will issue an attack, and at that moment it will be read in this report, while I am standing here in Congress, our army has attacked. Some say that this may be the scenario, and in the end, in this report to the nation, some parts will definitely be dedicated to Iran. I may have a special program about it, I may have a brief talk about it tomorrow, in the next live broadcast, but we will certainly listen because it will have very important points. This report to the nation, the State of the Union, which Mr. Trump is going to deliver, this long speech that he himself says will be mostly about the American economy, mostly about American domestic issues, but finally, he has to talk about Iran in part. He cannot not talk about it. In this situation now, and now, the Americans are in a situation where they are trying to choose the type of attack they will make . The issue is not courage, my dear . Let me tell you this: America has had much more courage than this in its history . It has done much greater things. The Islamic Republic is really no number in its history. And the reason why the Americans are now waiting to see what the next step will be is not that they don't have the courage to attack the Islamic Republic. The reason is that they don't know what they want to get out of this. What your next policy is. And they're not going to tell us. If we were going to be involved in this, the story would have been over a long time ago and the Islamic Republic would have been overthrown a long time ago. Americans are waiting to see what kind of attack Mr. Trump wants to make. What kind of attack does he want to make? What decision does the president want to make? Yesterday, there were reports in the American press, in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, CNN, Axios, MSNBC, that Mr. Trump's advisers are warning him and telling him not to attack Iran now. Now, for different reasons. One wrote economic reasons, another wrote because a regional war is happening, one wrote for this reason, another wrote for that reason. The fact is that when you see an article with similar words, just paraphrased, published in the press, all of which are mainstream press, I, the reporter, tell you that this is probably leaked from a part of the White House that wants to put a wedge in Mr. Trump's wheel, otherwise the people who published these articles would have been named in the past day or two in America . When 5-6 mainstream media outlets come out of the blue and talk about a meeting that none of them were invited to. A secret meeting that Mr. Trump had somewhere in the White House that we don't know if it was the Bayesian Room, the Situation Room, where it was, it was in the White House at all, and in this meeting 5-6 mainstream media outlets have details about who spoke and what, who said what. So someone leaked it again. Who leaked it and how did they leak it? He just wanted to do this to influence Mr. Trump's decision-making, which he can't. Mr. Trump doesn't care at all about things like this that are printed in the press, or secondarily, he tried, maybe he tried to launch a psychological war on the Islamic Republic. To please the values . What makes the Islamic Republic happy that they don't dare, they can't attack, so they don't come. They should feel at ease, come out of their shelters, come out of their mouse holes and hunt them down there. Maybe that's why they're saying this now. But I haven't read any of these articles, from yesterday to today, none of them have any real substance. And I think that what Mr. Trump wrote in the post he posted on social media, especially these articles, is that General Kane, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, warned him and said he wasn't sure, and Mr. Jones asked him a challenging question and he couldn't answer it. And now, in this situation, Mr. Trump came and posted on social media and said, General Kane told me that this is a very simple operation, there won't be any problems. That's exactly what they said, that Abiy is easy, and that winning this war is easy, and neither General Kane is worried, nor are the cabinet members worried. So, you can see what's being said in the press, especially in the mainstream press, as soon as I can come here. I'll sit here for you like this, without wanting an editor to ask me one by one to take my time for each of these stories, in a straight bureaucracy. I'll tell you, I have the source. I read the news myself. I know this city. I know my information about it. I can easily come and explain it to you. I don't need any more bureaucracy for this kind of work. You're in the press. You can't do this kind of thing. Censorship is not just about being told you don't have the right to do this. Censorship can be that he, you come to the White House for a week on the night shift. You can't say, "Oh, no, now this is the night shift this week. Come next week. Let's see what happens." Or, for example, "Sir, the schedule is full. We don't have room for an interview with a senator. We don't have time. The schedule is full. We have guests from another city. You go home. You get your money. You get your salary. Well, censorship is not just about being told. Don't say censorship. This is censorship. The model is like this: in some places you don't get time at all. They don't let you come and talk. They fill the time. They cover everything. You don't get anything. But this story doesn't exist here. This is a media that is open media. No one can silence my voice or tell me where to go or what to do. I give myself a place myself. If I need to go somewhere, I give it. If I need to talk to someone, I talk. I don't have a bureaucracy above me. I am my own editor, and you can only hear this kind of analysis from independent media. If you open the mainstream media, it's like a copy-paste of the news. Now I'm saying it, I'll change the sentences with a little paraphrasing. Reuters says something, then picks up the same thing, CNN says it, then the Star Journal says it, then the New York Times says it, and so on. You've heard this in seven or eight different media outlets. They call it the Echo Chamber. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi once explained it very well. It's on YouTube. Echo Chamber, you come and say a lie somewhere in the press, then that text from another branch of the press covers it, maybe 2 sources, maybe 3, then 10, then 20, before you try to come and say, sir, was this a lie or a mistake or the news was not complete, all the press has come and covered this so far, now you come and talk to someone who is doing this, try to write a letter to them one by one, tell them to fix this, this was wrong, now I will answer you by tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, by then it will have taken effect. The story and these news that I have seen in the press over the past 24 hours are mainly about Mr. Trump's decisions and especially all of them about this meeting that they say he had with the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and his first vice president and Secretary of War Pete Haxt and Marco Rubio, especially those who wrote this report based on this, in fact, quoting from this meeting. In my opinion, all of them are lies. None of them are true. They are leaks of information from inside the White House by a number of people. It happens that they give the press false information. The press that they are friends with, they also print, those media outlets also make money from these clicks, they get ads, they broadcast ads, while they are spreading this news and creating trouble for the Trump administration in this regard, they are trying to put a damper on this. I have been reading this for about 24 hours and I see talk about the deadline that Mr. Trump gave to the Islamic Republic has expired, that the deadline has expired, they say there is no more time, it was supposed to be on Tuesday, Wednesday, that is, today and tomorrow, it was supposed to be today and tomorrow. Finally, I understand that dear friends who are kind enough to write and donate, I am really trying my best to give this hope to Iranian children, but I am giving you false hope, not real hope. This is a country you have not lived in, the children inside Iran, and the propaganda and lies that the Islamic Republic is telling about America, China is telling about America, Russia is telling about America, these lies are so many. The people of the world don't know. If you haven't lived in America, you don't know. You don't know. These lies might actually be true. You might think this way. And my job is to come and tell you not to believe these lies of the Islamic Republic. For what reasons? For what reasons? The pressure on Mr. Trump is so high. You think Mr. Trump is just sitting back and not attacking for no reason. It's really hard to make a mistake. The current situation is extraordinary for the Americans. They are in a situation where they are ready to fight. If we count the number of planes that are just being brought to the region, including the aircraft carrier for General Atfour Abraham Lincoln, we have brought nearly 800 new planes to the region. In the past month, since Mr. Trump said, "Get out of here," and 800,850 planes, they are not all fighters. They have a lot of fuel . There are AI planes in them, there are also reconnaissance planes in them, but 800,850 new fighters are fighters and bringing new planes to the region means what more can he do now? There is nothing more he can do. No country in the world has such a capability that it can send 80,805 planes from one end of the world to the other and try to attack a country. No other country has the capability. It takes time. All of this takes time. It takes manpower, it takes personnel. It takes bureaucratic work. It's a government. A slow government. We ourselves are dissatisfied. The American government is built in a certain way. The founding fathers of this country, the people who founded America, were always afraid of a central government. They were always afraid that a central government would become so powerful that it would become tyrannical like in Europe. If it has too much power, it becomes tyrannical. It eats up the rights and privileges of the people . If it is a corrupt government, it will cause the whole country to collapse. And then, for this reason, they deliberately made the government something that would have a lot of bureaucracy, that would take a long time, that would require 100 of your signatures. Do something intentionally, so that the power of the federal government would be limited. Now, everyone says, hey, they say the President of the United States is the most powerful man in the world. Many say, it's not like that. Based on what you have in the US Constitution now, yes, the President of the United States has the most powerful country in the world behind him. That's right, but the President of the United States has to deal with two parliaments. Most European prime ministers or European presidents only have one parliament. Mr. Trump has two parliaments . He has one house and one senate. Other than that, the courts in the US are independent. Whatever the president orders, the courts can enforce it right away. Right away, they have to go to a higher court and fight it. The courts can also stop him. They say checks and balances. This is what America is made for. In the American Constitution, it takes a long time for this check and balance to be established and the bureaucracy to be put in place so that the president cannot become a dictator. The reason is this. If the rest of us sit around thinking that they can do this and they don't, they are wrong. They are now involved in a thousand and one checks and balances and it will take a long time in terms of bureaucracy to be able to move this matter forward. I swear to God, I wish the Islamic Republic would have gone by 10 am. I say victory at 11 am. If it were up to us, they would have lost their graves. But at the same time, I don't want to give false hope. I don't want you to be disappointed. I don't want you to just sit there and stare at the sky. There are friends. They say, "Hey, let's go." They say, "They wake up in the middle of the night." They say, "What happened?" Whatever happens, they say, "I understand." I understand. It's coming soon. After all, in this short time, all the evidence shows that it will be soon. Let's go to the videos I prepared for you. Let's present to you about a new program. Oh, this is a video that dear Max posted a few days ago. A series of videos that the Trump administration has recently released of what they call UFOs or bird-like objects or whatever you call them , but some of them are interesting because one in particular is a new video that is over the Persian Gulf. If I can find it now, it's long. There's a piece of it. This is a new video. If you look at this, they took it over the Persian Gulf. The Americans recently took those three points. If you look closely, they're three points flying, and one of them is moving backwards and one of them is moving forwards. It's as if they're aware of each other's presence as they move and move back and forth. And this is one of the new videos that they've released of UFOs flying over birds. They say maybe they're Russian drones, maybe they're Chinese drones, maybe they're American drones. One part of it is not showing another part. So what I'm explaining now is that they say this is a video that the military, the US Army, has released. It was taken recently, as I said, over the Persian Gulf. It's a video that There are three flying creatures that seem to be communicating with each other, one of them is moving backwards, the other is moving forward, as if they are communicating with each other. The three of them are in a triangle shape. If you watch the video, it was discussed again on the Max program, and then Max talks a lot in this new video about all the types of drones that the Americans are currently using in the region. Since the war in Ukraine, drones have become one of the most important weapons and equipment in warfare. In other words, the introduction of drones has really changed the world of warfare. Over the past three years, everyone is now moving towards new drones, and there is no reason to say what we have or what we are showing. Here are a series of new radar systems that you see being installed on American armored vehicles. They have a surveillance and radar system, and a laser system that can hit these drones with a laser. And how long has this been going on? The Americans have shown that they have the power to build a large number of drones. That is, they are now talking about having 1 million drones in the Persian Gulf by the end of July, for example. They should have 1 million, 1 million drones. Americans. When you have 1 million drones over a country, then you can really dictate to it. That means they also have drone layers, meaning they have a very large drone that is 5, 6, 60,000 feet above the ground, then 30,000 feet, then 10,000 feet, then very small drones. Some of them are not drones at all. They are robots or microphones. They broadcast them in different places. And then every time this drone passes, it communicates with it and the information is transmitted. 1 million drones seems to be enough for Iran. 1 million drones seems logical. It seems a logical number to cover the entire area of ​​Iran. I am very grateful to my friends who have been on the program until now. 5,431 people are watching this live. I would really like to know which city you are from. The first one was turned on. Kerman. Noorabad. Mamshani. Semnan. Norway. Isfahan. Sarab. Neyshabur. Michigan. Düsseldorf. Shiraz. Behesher. Qazvin. Tabriz. Ilam. Moscow . Lausanne. Mashhad. Tennis. Babylon. Bell. Copenhagen. Punk. Tehran. Toronto. London. Elli Tafresh. Isfahan. Mahmoudabad. Mazandaran Golestan Elahiyeh Dr. Hesabavieh Goodbye Hamburg Rezvancher Dr. Hesabavieh would have been under Tajrish Darsete Shimron Khorramabad Kahrizak Shahi Arak Talesh Belgium Elahiyeh Pol-e-Rumi Elahiyeh Pol-e-Rumi would have been towards that street that is now Shariati Birgen Frankfurt Chal-e-Sorkh Netherlands Karaj Norway Garmsar Sistan Auckland New Zealand Tehran Jannatabad Sita Dels Rush You see an energy When you tell me what cities it comes from I really appreciate it if you could tell me what to expect in the next 24 hours I'm listening tonight State of the Union exactly Mr. Trump's report to the nation is in 6 hours 9 pm Washington DC time now 258 after that and I expect him to talk about Iran if he comes to this State of the Union to say the attack has begun I wouldn't be surprised but I don't expect war to happen so soon with Iran I don't expect it because I know that the Americans are reviewing a series of their plans and Mr. Trump may attack now it will be a blow then he will back down and in the end as much as he wants to the American people keep this or as much as he comes a series of other images Oh, I think you've seen this effect before I showed you before what you see is a missile The fire in the Red Sea is red. Hellfire in the Red Sea. They shot at something they say was a UFO. It was hit by a missile, but it dodged and went to the other side. Nothing happened to it. Let me see another piece. I don't know if you saw this or not. Of course, it's not new . Men, that's a solid move. I mean, just fun to watch. You can't help but just be a call it resting. Look, the missile hits it, it dodges, you see it's slowing down now. The Hellfire missile is the same one that cut Qassem, but it didn't cut it, not the body, but it dodged and went to the other side. This is the same person who cut Qassem in Hellfire, Qassem is showing it there, but in this and this picture that they showed in Congress, it was a bird, it was a yup, it was a yuppie, what was it that he dodged the Al-Fire missile and it actually dodged and didn't hit, it didn't explode properly? I was asking what Mr. Trump wants to do. My idea is that he will strike and turn back, but he may not have told the American people this before, and now he doesn't want to tell the American people this, but eventually he will be forced to deploy military forces in Iran. It was really clear from the beginning that parts of the Islamic Republic should be expelled from that country by deploying military forces. They are an occupier. Their behavior is really like an occupier. Their behavior is really like an occupier and they are no different from an occupying force. In the end, they have to be thrown out with a military force. And now, whenever Mr. Trump asks him, he says no, we will not send military forces. No, we will go, drop a few bombs and come back. No, no, nothing, we just put planes around them. He can't say it now, but eventually he will reach a point. I am sure that with this situation that is continuing , the military force will have to follow suit, and for the military force, at least 1,000 soldiers are short in the region. 30,000 to 40,000 soldiers will not do the job. He must bring more soldiers to the region so that he can push the Islamic Republic aside. There is a lot of news about universities in Iran. They are flying the Lion and Sun flags in universities. This is one of those things that if you had told us 5 years ago to raise the flag of the Lion and the Sun in Iran, we would have said we were dreaming and fantasizing. I myself have always loved the Pahlavi family since I was a child, now I am a devout person. We were also monarchists and wanted to keep the monarchy. But since you were a child, you didn't even dare to raise your voice that you wanted to be a monarch, let alone raise the flag of the lion and sun. And let me tell you the reasons why you see so many lion and sun flags in Iran are a series of centers and groups of monarchists. Many of them are in contact with me in America. They call me sometimes. They give me information. In Iran, a series of groups started from Europe and America. They contacted each other. The Iranians themselves really spontaneously. They united with each other, connected with each other and started. One of them brought the flag, I don't know, the fabric. Another one sewed it, I don't know, the other one did something else. And they started distributing these flags. When I left Iran, I don't remember anyone having the lion and sun flag in Iran at all. If I had one, I wouldn't show it to anyone. And I had friends, and I myself, for example... We had American flags. You could buy American flags because they wanted to go burn American flags themselves for these demonstrations. So, for example, you know, I remember, for example, there were places where they were selling flags, and there were American flags that they were going to burn, and I would buy them. We kept the American flag, but the imperial flag and the lion and the sun did not exist at all, and you can see now that they are hot-tempered. Children in Iran do not raise the lion and the sun flag in universities. No one could have thought of it. This is what happened. Look at it. Give some hope. I mean, see that this change is happening. Just look at the empty half and it did not come. What happened? It was too late. It does not come now. Just look at the empty half. Let's not do it. None of us do it. We all have to look out for each other. Let's give each other energy. We all have to exercise. Believe me, with this body that I have, I have to exercise for 45 minutes a day. One day, I have to exercise every day. I have to do it. This body that is nothing and affects your brain and psyche. Do whatever you can. If you are in the cup group, you do not have dumbbells or a barbell. Jump up and down to make your heart rate go up and get that sluggishness out of your body. Exercise is very important and we all have to try to continue. Let's be strong, let's try to continue, and let's hope that help will come. It will come soon. I'll be back with you again. Another live broadcast on Capital Report. I'll be back tomorrow. I'll listen to the State of the Union tonight. If I see Mr. Trump talking at length about Iran, I'll put on a special program for Tehran morning. Otherwise, I'll be with you again on Capital Report tomorrow. Until the next program, goodbye for now.